Official Betting Thread

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rare as rockinghorse shat
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by rare as rockinghorse shat »

Wizzo

After how many attempts mate?
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by rare as rockinghorse shat »

shreddie wrote:Under 2.5 in Chiasso v Delemont- Swiss Challenge League.....Evs with Stan James... will be flipped by the time the game kicks off on Sunday.
I don't understand what that means.

I noticed you got one of these under/over predictions right the other day. Is it specifically a market you study?
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by wizzo_66 »

rare as rockinghorse shat wrote:Wizzo

After how many attempts mate?
I don't do them every week. Stick to my trebles, both to score coupons most of the time - but I am highly in profit on accumulators like these - provided by the fact I try them a couple times a month max and I have had 1 come off this year already. Had one November/December time come off too.
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shreddie
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by shreddie »

rare as rockinghorse shat wrote:I don't understand what that means.

I noticed you got one of these under/over predictions right the other day. Is it specifically a market you study?
It's more about following moves rather than studying, so I'm going with the flow of the money more than anything and hoping that it is correct. Picking off bookmakers that are slow to update.

What I mean by the flip is that the over / under to a 7.5% margin ( Over - 1.72 Unders - Evens) will probably be reversed by the time the game kicks off. so in this example (Overs - 2 Unders 1.72).
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by rare as rockinghorse shat »

Sorry, the flow of money?

Are you referring to spread betting/Betfair?
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by SammyLeeWasOffside »

rare as rockinghorse shat wrote:Sorry, the flow of money?
Confused me too RARS, usually it just flows out of my pocket into the bookies bag :D
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by wizzo_66 »

rare as rockinghorse shat wrote:Sorry, the flow of money?

Are you referring to spread betting/Betfair?
Isn't he referring to how odds begin to change where bets are being placed? - Catching them at the right time and then placing the bets with bookmakers who haven't caught up yet?
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by shreddie »

asian money...(which is the wise money)

European companies will come in line with Asian companies like 188bet & ofcourse our friends SBObet for leagues like this.

For example in the game I mentioned SBO Over/Under 2.5 = Over 2.18 Under 1.77...

Stan James currentl Over 1.75 Under 1.95...but once they get pounded in by punters they will soon be something like Over 1.95 Under 1.75.

Hope this makes sense (if you care). Happy to explain or PM if not.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by shreddie »

wizzo_66 wrote:Isn't he referring to how odds begin to change where bets are being placed? - Catching them at the right time and then placing the bets with bookmakers who haven't caught up yet?
Bang on
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by SammyLeeWasOffside »

Shreddie are you saying the match is fixed so the Asian markets know or that the Asian backers have done all the studying and you are happy to follow their lead when they move?
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by shreddie »

SammyLeeWasOffside wrote:Shreddie are you saying the match is fixed so the Asian markets know or that the Asian backers have done all the studying and you are happy to follow their lead when they move?
2nd part mate, clever syndicate money..,of course doesn't mean it's going to win but you are getting value in the longrun.
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SammyLeeWasOffside
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by SammyLeeWasOffside »

shreddie wrote: 2nd part mate, clever syndicate money..,of course doesn't mean it's going to win but you are getting value in the longrun.
Cheers :thup:

I must be old fashioned doing it the 'I fancy that i will back it' way lol.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by shreddie »

SammyLeeWasOffside wrote:I must be old fashioned doing it the 'I fancy that i will back it' way lol.
Not at all, most casual punters do it your way and it's more fun to be honest...i've got to the stage where i'd rather be boring and disciplined to try and win money rather than have a casual punt.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Whufc06 »

Elgin home to Peterhead today. Elgin are 6/5 and have a home record of something like 9-3-1 against Peterhead whose away record is 4-1-9. Added to the fact that in the same fixture about a month ago Elgin won 6-1. Should be about 1/2 realistically.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by shreddie »

Nk Zagreb away at Varteks 1.85 with Bwin.
Shrewsbury vs Burton over 2.5 @2.05 with Stan James
Hoffenheim + 1.75 vs Bayern Muninch @ 1.91 with Stan James
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by shreddie »

shreddie wrote:Nk Zagreb away at Varteks 1.85 with Bwin.
Shrewsbury vs Burton over 2.5 @2.05 with Stan James
Hoffenheim + 1.75 vs Bayern Muninch @ 1.91 with Stan James
Lots of moves that I didn't post yesterday...probably broke even on the day even with the 2 stinkers above!

One for today...Ajax v Waalwijk...Over 3.5 @ 2.05 with Stan James
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by EvilC »

I actually won a bet for a change yesterday - all the singles/doubles/trebles and the accumulator on Reading/Forest/Sunderland/Blackburn.

£7.50 returned £97.83.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Dyl »

west ham and charlton ****ed me over again. I swear Charlton never win, i've bet on them about 6 times this season and they've cost me every time, how the f*** are they top by so much. As for West Ham, ****ing useless c****, should've known.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by hiphophammer »

Ploughed into Leeds - £200 @ 1.31 at 0-2.

Fully expect it to f*** up come FT!
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by davids cross »

Just had £200 on us getting promted at 1.65.

My thinking,

Reading have only 4 home games left with 7 away including, Away to Brighton, Southampton and Birmingham as well as away to WHU .

Naturally this needs a certain sort of form from us and at the moment it's a bit mixed. The home to Reading game could be very crucial. They may go above us tomorrow but I'm quietly and hopefully confident. Don't see anyone coming from off the pace really. Two from Saints, us and Reading.

And I get the play off chance at the very least.

Goodbye £200....congratulations to Southampton & Reading and play off winners Cardiff City :lol:
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