Official Betting Thread

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Wed Aug 15, 2018 10:22 am

Darlington v Blyth

Btts in 1st half 11/4 (small stakes)
Darlington over 1.5 goals 5/6 (standard stake)
Btts and over 2.5 goals 4/5 (standard stake)
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:11 pm

First one is in! 1-1 within 25mins.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:13 pm

Spoke to soon. Disallowed goal!
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:31 pm

There we go, on 42nd minute.

Hopefully one more for Darlington for a full house.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby (Dazza) on Thu Aug 16, 2018 11:38 am

chelmsfordhammer91 wrote:There we go, on 42nd minute.

Hopefully one more for Darlington for a full house.

Listening to the post match interviews, sounds like you were unlucky not to get the full house, mate :thup:

Do you do a lot of research into non league games for picks like this?
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Thu Aug 16, 2018 11:49 am

Not really but blyth were a team i managed on footy manager so sometimes keep an eye on them. The amount of data out there now that is easily available is incredible.

I mostly stick with premier league for WDW but the last year mostly do goals bets as there seems better value for the same odds as a team to win.

I followed a few tipsters on Icelandic/Nordic goals bets but generally use flashscore app for h2h stats etc for reasoning.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Thu Aug 16, 2018 11:54 am

I just read that Darlington had THREE goals disallowed. As there was no footage I can't say if any should have counted.

I try to stay away from these early Europa league games although there are 36 on today.

There appears to be some value in the only caraboa cup game with a goal in both halves paying 8/11 but a long shot could be btts in both halves at 14/1.

Not put anything on yet so might give it a miss until the weekend.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Thu Aug 16, 2018 8:44 pm

Apologies as two of these are nearly finished but I ended up with a treble of:

Rosenberg
Basel
Braga

A shade above 2/1.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby (Dazza) on Fri Aug 17, 2018 8:50 am

Taking the enhanced odds of 6/1 on William Hill for Tottenham, Everton, WH all to win.

Like the look of Portsmouth at home to Oxford @ 17/20 - looking for another couple to add for my weekend accumulator.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Fri Aug 17, 2018 10:27 am

That first tip looks good value mate, I try to stay away from betting on us though as it's a double downer when we lose!.

I watched some of the Braga game but went to bed at 0-0, cashed out at 1-0 as the returns were only 40 quid if it came in but cash out was around 35. Felt gutted when I saw it was 2-1 late on but relief when the equaliser came in.

What is everyone's experience/use of the cash out features?. I generally leave them to run as the returns are usually poor value but it is quite nice cashing out then the bet eventually losing.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby rare as rockinghorse shat on Fri Aug 17, 2018 11:12 am

Cash out is an absolute knock.

You can do simple maths on it. Let's say you have a £25 stake on a double.

First game at 1pm at 6/5 odds and the second game at 5pm on 13/8 odds, as a random example.

Your first selection wins and your cash out is £47.50

How the hell do they work out, when you've already won an above evens bet, that they put the cash out at less than double your stake? And, especially when you're well on your way to a much larger amount?!
It's scandalous to say the least.

If it is a market, where the odds have moved so much in your favour, then you may as well take a cash out for the sake of the unlikely happening.
Such as taking £147 from a potential £160, with your final team in an accy leading with 20mins left, for example. It's just not worth letting it run for that time to risk your team chucking it away.

At least on the exchange you get an absolutely true cashout, reflective of the actual odds.
Last edited by rare as rockinghorse shat on Fri Aug 17, 2018 11:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby (Dazza) on Fri Aug 17, 2018 11:13 am

chelmsfordhammer91 wrote:That first tip looks good value mate, I try to stay away from betting on us though as it's a double downer when we lose!.

Used to be the same but since we've moved to the Bowl and i've given up the ST, I'm much less fussed when we lose (probabaly not a discussion for in here!).
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby djbubbles on Fri Aug 17, 2018 1:01 pm

My treble this weekend.
Result and both to score
West Ham @11/4
Doncaster @6/1
Middlesboro @9/2.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Fri Aug 17, 2018 1:38 pm

Dj - I've never done well on that market but a mate of mine has had some massive wins by doing treble on this.

I've seen some good odds on lower league games for btts both halves, but haven't looked into how often it happens.

I just assume that the wilder scores happen more often I the lower leagues where it is nearer to Sunday league football.

I should add a caveat to my bets that they aren't really tips, just where I personally see value given which should pay off averaging over the year.

Since I stopped doing silly 8 game accas a few years ago and stuck a limit to trebles, I have at least broke even over the last 3 years.

Fortunately,I know sod all about horse racing otherwise I can see myself getting in a bit deep with that.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby djbubbles on Fri Aug 17, 2018 5:59 pm

I lay out €20 every weekend on result and btts. Usually 5 €2 win trebles and 10 €1 win trebles.
I could win on week1 or it could take 15 weeks to win, but when i do win, i win big which covers my stakes. Over a season, i wont be a millionaire with my winnings but i dont lose either.
Soccer saturday with Jeff is a highlight of the week with all my slips laid out on the table.
Its just my thing, but each to their own :crest:
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Polaroid on Sat Aug 18, 2018 12:37 am

-£4 after last week at Liverpool.

£2 on 2-1 WHU @ 10 (£16.00)
£2 on 2-1 Bournemouth @ 14 (£24.00)
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Sat Aug 18, 2018 8:02 am

Followed a random French league 2 tip of Niort to score before 43mins last night. Only small stakes at around 4/5 odds so using the winnings as my bets today.

Two bets I've gone for today:

Chelsea/Newcastle both to win pays Around 3.5/1.

Leeds/Everton/WH to win, a shade under 5/1.

Good luck all.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby (Dazza) on Sat Aug 18, 2018 8:35 am

(Dazza) wrote:Taking the enhanced odds of 6/1 on William Hill for Tottenham, Everton, WH all to win.

Like the look of Portsmouth at home to Oxford @ 17/20 - looking for another couple to add for my weekend accumulator.

Added Elgin -1, and Blackburn double chance to the Portsmouth pick.

5er on returns £43.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Sat Aug 18, 2018 9:20 pm

Unlucky mate, Elgin being one short but the others were good calls.

My two flopped (I knew I shouldn't have gone against my usual of not betting on us!).

I'm on to the boxing now with a double of Fury and Frampton both to win by KO/TKO/DQ, pays around 0.7/1
. Quite short but looks more of a cert than the footy and a good bank builder.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Sun Aug 19, 2018 9:38 am

Bit of a weird one yesterday, my football bets and boxing bet lost but I did the cardinal sin of trying to recoup my loss by playing blackjack. Only did two hands which both won, with the second being blackjack so paying more. I quit there as that made me even for the day, but a bit annoyed with myself for even trying that.

Anyway, today there are a few games on but I'm sticking with a treble:

Man Utd
Feyenoord
Zenit

Pays around 2.5/1

Only low stakes as yesterday's picks lost.
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