Official Betting Thread
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- rare as rockinghorse shat
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- S-H
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Re: Official Betting Thread
I've been up and down so far this season, haven't had a bet for 2 or 3 weeks but I've done these for tonight,
Esbjerg v Odense home, 2/1
Red Star v Lorient away, 13/10
FC Eindhoven v MVV away, 9/5
Jong AZ v Go Ahead away, 11/10
Volendam v Top Oss, away, 6/4
Full cover @ £1 = 31 bets returns £543.24.
Esbjerg v Odense home, 2/1
Red Star v Lorient away, 13/10
FC Eindhoven v MVV away, 9/5
Jong AZ v Go Ahead away, 11/10
Volendam v Top Oss, away, 6/4
Full cover @ £1 = 31 bets returns £543.24.
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Re: Official Betting Thread
The first 3 all came in, that returned £49.15.Hammer.CA wrote:I've been up and down so far this season, haven't had a bet for 2 or 3 weeks but I've done these for tonight,
Esbjerg v Odense home, 2/1
Red Star v Lorient away, 13/10
FC Eindhoven v MVV away, 9/5
Jong AZ v Go Ahead away, 11/10
Volendam v Top Oss, away, 6/4
Full cover @ £1 = 31 bets returns £543.24.
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Re: Official Betting Thread
My 4 for today are,
Notts Co v Stevenage home, 5/4
Ayr v Falkirk home, 11/10
Inverness v Partick home, 11/8
East Fife v Airdrie away, 13/10
Full cover = 31 bets @ £1 returns £111.21
Ayr were losing 2-0, now 3-2 up.
Notts Co v Stevenage home, 5/4
Ayr v Falkirk home, 11/10
Inverness v Partick home, 11/8
East Fife v Airdrie away, 13/10
Full cover = 31 bets @ £1 returns £111.21
Ayr were losing 2-0, now 3-2 up.
- Hemel Iron
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Re: Official Betting Thread
Hamley came in today at 12’s, didn’t know the horse was running until I saw the result.rare as rockinghorse shat wrote:2 Horses:
Camomile Lawn - 6:30pm Windsor @ 3/1
Hamley - 6:40pm Roscommon @ 6/1
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Re: Official Betting Thread
Due to my up and down results lately I haven't posted my bets although I should have posted Sampdoria to win at Frosinone last weekend, Frosinone haven't scored a goal yet this season.. They were 11/10 at my local bookies which I thought was an excellent price. I had £40 on it, knew I should have done a bit more, Samp won 5-0, I won just over £150 for the weekend.
I think Olympiakos to beat Real Betis at home tonight are good bet tonight, 5/4 thereabouts.
I think Olympiakos to beat Real Betis at home tonight are good bet tonight, 5/4 thereabouts.
- chelmsfordhammer91
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Re: Official Betting Thread
That was brilliant odds on Sampdoria!.
Typical fashion that I self exclude myself and the main horse tipster I follow posted a 475-1 treble the week I quit!. I usually had a fiver on each horse and a quid or two on the treble.
Through form, I know that is mostly his luck done for a year or two so won't be going back anytime soon.
Typical fashion that I self exclude myself and the main horse tipster I follow posted a 475-1 treble the week I quit!. I usually had a fiver on each horse and a quid or two on the treble.
Through form, I know that is mostly his luck done for a year or two so won't be going back anytime soon.
- djbubbles
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Re: Official Betting Thread
Coto. Dundalk 5.30.
My gf's uncles horse. Trained and owned.
Has often blown his chances by not coming out of the stalls. In fact he has done it the last 4 times.
One day hes gonna come out on terms.
Hope its today.
22/1 with pp
My gf's uncles horse. Trained and owned.
Has often blown his chances by not coming out of the stalls. In fact he has done it the last 4 times.
One day hes gonna come out on terms.
Hope its today.
22/1 with pp
- djbubbles
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Re: Official Betting Thread
Was chatting Matty Tynan. Reckons he'll win if he breaks. I asked whats the chances of that and he said your guess is as good as mine. Hes got a pretty aggresive jockey on board thoughdjbubbles wrote:Coto. Dundalk 5.30.
My gf's uncles horse. Trained and owned.
Has often blown his chances by not coming out of the stalls. In fact he has done it the last 4 times.
One day hes gonna come out on terms.
Hope its today.
22/1 with pp
- k-r-c
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Re: Official Betting Thread
Fiver down the drain haha. Didn't break well and from that showing isn't going to win a race any time soon.
Thanks for the heads up anyway, cant win them all.
Thanks for the heads up anyway, cant win them all.
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Re: Official Betting Thread
Number 13! :cry:djbubbles wrote:Last out again and last again
Olympiakos could only manage a draw last night but I got some money back on D Zagreb and Slavia Prague.
I've gone for Boavista & Sassuolo tonight.
Re: Official Betting Thread
Have you been doing this one RARS and if so how is it going?rare as rockinghorse shat wrote: 1. Betfair - dutching 2-1 / 1-2
(Dutching is when you put your stake across both scores so it gives an even return on either.
For example if your stake was £20, and the 2-1 scoreline is 6/1 and the 1-2 scoreline is 9/1 you'd put around £8 on the 1-2 and around £12 on the 2-1)
2-1 to either team on the above example would return approximately a £60 profit.
In this market, you are looking for high percentages of BTTS probability and over 2.5 goals, obviously. Also, a fairly high probability of a first half goal.
If the game goes to 1-1 by the hour mark, you will have a pretty decent cash in option to take and walk away.
I've been keeping an eye on the Premier League games that are live on TV.
So far 26 games
10 have finished 2/1 or 1/2
A further 8 have finished in what would be a relative easy position to manually 'cash out' / trade
Leaving an additional 8 where there would probably only be a small chance to green up / break even.
- Man Utd v Leicester City : 2-1
Newcastle United v Spurs : 1-2
Wolves v Everton : 2-2
Liverpool v West Ham : 4-0
Arsenal v Man City : 0-2
Cardiff City v Newcastle United : 0-0
Chelsea v Arsenal : 3-2
Man City v Huddersfield Town : 6-1
Brighton v Man Utd : 3-2
Crystal Palace v Liverpool : 0-2
Wolves v Man City : 1-1
Liverpool v Brighton : 1-0
Watford v Crystal Palace : 2-1
Newcastle United v Chelsea : 1-2
Man Utd v Spurs : 0-3
Leicester City v Liverpool : 1-2
Man City v Newcastle United : 2-1
Cardiff City v Arsenal : 2-3
Watford v Spurs : 2-1
Spurs v Liverpool : 1-2
Watford v Man Utd : 1-2
Wolves v Burnley : 1-0
Everton v West Ham : 1-3
Southampton v Brighton : 2-2
Fulham v Watford : 1-1
Brighton v Spurs : 1-2
- rare as rockinghorse shat
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Re: Official Betting Thread
Hi Polaroid,
I've not had enough time/funds to dedicate to researching and working with the above.
However, from the list you provided, I'd be interested in the win rate, had you filtered out the games that may not had matched certain criteria beforehand.
Such as any games that didn't match at least 2/3 at 60% rate of BTTS, FH goal or over 2.5
Doing it blind, however, 10/26 games - that hit rate would have turned an outstanding profit.
With likely profit to average around £80-£100 from flat £20 stake, dutched evenly across the two scorelines, from I think you're looking at a good £450-£500 profit.
Probably looking at about a 20% strike rate to return a profit (cashed in games notwithstanding) and this selection is well above that... around 38%
It is ALL about match selection to fine tune that S/R by using statistical research and can be an extremely profitable trade if you select the games correctly.
Even as a blind trade, so far this season on TV games, it's still a good money maker.
(And as you say, even the games that went to 2-0/0-2 or 1-1, you'd have a good chance to cash out with around 20-30mins to play)
I've not had enough time/funds to dedicate to researching and working with the above.
However, from the list you provided, I'd be interested in the win rate, had you filtered out the games that may not had matched certain criteria beforehand.
Such as any games that didn't match at least 2/3 at 60% rate of BTTS, FH goal or over 2.5
Doing it blind, however, 10/26 games - that hit rate would have turned an outstanding profit.
With likely profit to average around £80-£100 from flat £20 stake, dutched evenly across the two scorelines, from I think you're looking at a good £450-£500 profit.
Probably looking at about a 20% strike rate to return a profit (cashed in games notwithstanding) and this selection is well above that... around 38%
It is ALL about match selection to fine tune that S/R by using statistical research and can be an extremely profitable trade if you select the games correctly.
Even as a blind trade, so far this season on TV games, it's still a good money maker.
(And as you say, even the games that went to 2-0/0-2 or 1-1, you'd have a good chance to cash out with around 20-30mins to play)