Official Betting Thread

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djbubbles
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by djbubbles » Fri Sep 07, 2018 6:03 pm

My €2 win treble and BTTS for this weekend.

Luton @ 5/1
Bradford @ 7/1
Carisle @ 13/2
Pays €720

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rare as rockinghorse shat
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by rare as rockinghorse shat » Fri Sep 07, 2018 7:14 pm

Laahvely

Zeshov Win
Place
Place

£145 profit in the skyrocket :thup:

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S-H
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by S-H » Fri Sep 07, 2018 9:03 pm

Yep, cheers buddy, managed to get on that!

:thup:

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djbubbles
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by djbubbles » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:14 am

My €2 win treble and BTTS

Middlesborough @4/1
Stoke @4/1
Notts County @7/2

111/1

Hammer.CA
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Hammer.CA » Fri Sep 14, 2018 6:09 pm

I've been up and down so far this season, haven't had a bet for 2 or 3 weeks but I've done these for tonight,
Esbjerg v Odense home, 2/1
Red Star v Lorient away, 13/10
FC Eindhoven v MVV away, 9/5
Jong AZ v Go Ahead away, 11/10
Volendam v Top Oss, away, 6/4
Full cover @ £1 = 31 bets returns £543.24.

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Hammer.CA » Sat Sep 15, 2018 3:14 pm

Hammer.CA wrote:I've been up and down so far this season, haven't had a bet for 2 or 3 weeks but I've done these for tonight,
Esbjerg v Odense home, 2/1
Red Star v Lorient away, 13/10
FC Eindhoven v MVV away, 9/5
Jong AZ v Go Ahead away, 11/10
Volendam v Top Oss, away, 6/4
Full cover @ £1 = 31 bets returns £543.24.
The first 3 all came in, that returned £49.15.

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Hammer.CA » Sat Sep 15, 2018 4:38 pm

My 4 for today are,
Notts Co v Stevenage home, 5/4
Ayr v Falkirk home, 11/10
Inverness v Partick home, 11/8
East Fife v Airdrie away, 13/10
Full cover = 31 bets @ £1 returns £111.21

Ayr were losing 2-0, now 3-2 up.

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Polaroid » Sun Sep 16, 2018 2:56 pm

Everton v West Ham United
2-1 £2 @ 9.8
1-2 £2 @ 16.0

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Hemel Iron
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Hemel Iron » Sun Sep 16, 2018 7:05 pm

rare as rockinghorse shat wrote:2 Horses:

Camomile Lawn - 6:30pm Windsor @ 3/1

Hamley - 6:40pm Roscommon @ 6/1
Hamley came in today at 12’s, didn’t know the horse was running until I saw the result.

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Hammer.CA » Thu Sep 20, 2018 1:10 pm

Due to my up and down results lately I haven't posted my bets although I should have posted Sampdoria to win at Frosinone last weekend, Frosinone haven't scored a goal yet this season.. They were 11/10 at my local bookies which I thought was an excellent price. I had £40 on it, knew I should have done a bit more, Samp won 5-0, I won just over £150 for the weekend.
I think Olympiakos to beat Real Betis at home tonight are good bet tonight, 5/4 thereabouts.

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by chelmsfordhammer91 » Thu Sep 20, 2018 8:42 pm

That was brilliant odds on Sampdoria!.

Typical fashion that I self exclude myself and the main horse tipster I follow posted a 475-1 treble the week I quit!. I usually had a fiver on each horse and a quid or two on the treble.

Through form, I know that is mostly his luck done for a year or two so won't be going back anytime soon.

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djbubbles
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by djbubbles » Fri Sep 21, 2018 2:44 pm

Coto. Dundalk 5.30.
My gf's uncles horse. Trained and owned.
Has often blown his chances by not coming out of the stalls. In fact he has done it the last 4 times.
One day hes gonna come out on terms.
Hope its today.
22/1 with pp

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djbubbles
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by djbubbles » Fri Sep 21, 2018 2:59 pm

My €2 win treble, Win and BTTS.

MK Dons @13/2
Notts County @11/2
Scunthorpe @ 5/1

€2 pays €585

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by djbubbles » Fri Sep 21, 2018 3:01 pm

djbubbles wrote:Coto. Dundalk 5.30.
My gf's uncles horse. Trained and owned.
Has often blown his chances by not coming out of the stalls. In fact he has done it the last 4 times.
One day hes gonna come out on terms.
Hope its today.
22/1 with pp
Was chatting Matty Tynan. Reckons he'll win if he breaks. I asked whats the chances of that and he said your guess is as good as mine. Hes got a pretty aggresive jockey on board though

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by k-r-c » Fri Sep 21, 2018 5:33 pm

Fiver down the drain haha. Didn't break well and from that showing isn't going to win a race any time soon.

Thanks for the heads up anyway, cant win them all.

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by djbubbles » Fri Sep 21, 2018 5:33 pm

Last out again and last again

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Hammer.CA » Fri Sep 21, 2018 6:23 pm

djbubbles wrote:Last out again and last again
Number 13! :cry:

Olympiakos could only manage a draw last night but I got some money back on D Zagreb and Slavia Prague.
I've gone for Boavista & Sassuolo tonight.

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Polaroid » Sun Sep 23, 2018 2:12 am

Currently running at a massive £6.81 net profit after our glorious victory on the pitch last week.

West Ham United v Chelsea
2-1 @ 20
1-2 @ 9.4

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Polaroid » Sun Sep 23, 2018 2:42 am

rare as rockinghorse shat wrote: 1. Betfair - dutching 2-1 / 1-2

(Dutching is when you put your stake across both scores so it gives an even return on either.
For example if your stake was £20, and the 2-1 scoreline is 6/1 and the 1-2 scoreline is 9/1 you'd put around £8 on the 1-2 and around £12 on the 2-1)
2-1 to either team on the above example would return approximately a £60 profit.
In this market, you are looking for high percentages of BTTS probability and over 2.5 goals, obviously. Also, a fairly high probability of a first half goal.
If the game goes to 1-1 by the hour mark, you will have a pretty decent cash in option to take and walk away.
Have you been doing this one RARS and if so how is it going?

I've been keeping an eye on the Premier League games that are live on TV.

So far 26 games
10 have finished 2/1 or 1/2
A further 8 have finished in what would be a relative easy position to manually 'cash out' / trade
Leaving an additional 8 where there would probably only be a small chance to green up / break even.
  • Man Utd v Leicester City : 2-1
    Newcastle United v Spurs : 1-2
    Wolves v Everton : 2-2
    Liverpool v West Ham : 4-0
    Arsenal v Man City : 0-2
    Cardiff City v Newcastle United : 0-0
    Chelsea v Arsenal : 3-2
    Man City v Huddersfield Town : 6-1
    Brighton v Man Utd : 3-2
    Crystal Palace v Liverpool : 0-2
    Wolves v Man City : 1-1
    Liverpool v Brighton : 1-0
    Watford v Crystal Palace : 2-1
    Newcastle United v Chelsea : 1-2
    Man Utd v Spurs : 0-3
    Leicester City v Liverpool : 1-2
    Man City v Newcastle United : 2-1
    Cardiff City v Arsenal : 2-3
    Watford v Spurs : 2-1
    Spurs v Liverpool : 1-2
    Watford v Man Utd : 1-2
    Wolves v Burnley : 1-0
    Everton v West Ham : 1-3
    Southampton v Brighton : 2-2
    Fulham v Watford : 1-1
    Brighton v Spurs : 1-2
All a bit speculative in all honesty, but as a blind trade not the worst I've tracked so far.

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by rare as rockinghorse shat » Thu Sep 27, 2018 5:49 pm

Hi Polaroid,

I've not had enough time/funds to dedicate to researching and working with the above.

However, from the list you provided, I'd be interested in the win rate, had you filtered out the games that may not had matched certain criteria beforehand.
Such as any games that didn't match at least 2/3 at 60% rate of BTTS, FH goal or over 2.5

Doing it blind, however, 10/26 games - that hit rate would have turned an outstanding profit.

With likely profit to average around £80-£100 from flat £20 stake, dutched evenly across the two scorelines, from I think you're looking at a good £450-£500 profit.

Probably looking at about a 20% strike rate to return a profit (cashed in games notwithstanding) and this selection is well above that... around 38%

It is ALL about match selection to fine tune that S/R by using statistical research and can be an extremely profitable trade if you select the games correctly.

Even as a blind trade, so far this season on TV games, it's still a good money maker.
(And as you say, even the games that went to 2-0/0-2 or 1-1, you'd have a good chance to cash out with around 20-30mins to play) :thup:

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