Nice post Bond Holder 59
Bond Holder 59 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 22, 2022 9:54 am
I don’t think anyone can judge yet. We haven’t had a period of stability to assess.
I think we can and should judge it against how it was sold to us, how it shapes up versus the Leave prospectus and viewed in those terms it is a disaster. No on was told in 2016 we'd possibly, maybe see some benefits in about 50 years time. Everything was going to miles better straight away.
Trade with EU was to have "the exact same benefits" : Not even close, massive disruption, an avalanche of red-tape and exports dropped off a cliff.
Trade Deals with RoW were to ready & to be signed on day one: Not even close, USA deal generations away, only copy & paste jobs replicating the EU deals have been signed and ridiculously one-sided ones with Aus & NZ etc opening our farmers to decimation.
Save Money: Miles off, our negotiators caved in and agreed to pay big before even a trade deal was agreed. Brexit is costing more than EU membership.
Northern Ireland “there will be no forms, no checks, no barriers of any kind between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK”:
We are now the only nation on earth that has a trade border within it's own territory. The Protocol is such a rushed one-sided (in NI terms) deal that the GF/Belfast Agreement is hanging by a thread.
Less Immigration: Actually the same, just different composition, we're punting our visa's around the 3rd world to try and secure more deals.
'The easiest trade deal in human history': Terrible deal for the UK, leaving services (80% of our economy) out on a limb, and you just have to ask a farmer, a fisherman, a manufacturer or an exporter how they feel about the eventual trade deal.
Most people have lost freedom of movement and have won in exchange riskier, and more expensive, holidays as a result. Roaming charges are back on most mobile networks, visa queues at airports for holiday makers, students have lost Ersamus, scientists have lost Horizon Europe, universities have lost funding, police have lost access to shared databases, musicians can't tour in Europe, ultra-high tech UK firms lost right to sell to the Gallileo space programme...etc
And of course 'no one was talking about leaving the single market' 'the CEO’s of Mercedes, BMW, VW and Audi will be knocking down the door demanding that there be no barriers' "We hold all the cards' etc.
It was a con job, and I know due to the nature of the 2016 'debate' a lot of emotion was personally invested and it turned into an identity thing, some today still through 'Remainer' around as an insult, so it's going to take a while for those to come to terms with being a patsy and no politician would gain by being the one to forcibly point it out.
However the governments own OBR calculated our GDP is 4% less today solely due to Brexit. That alone is enough to close the case, it was a silly idea, unbelievably badly implemented by the party that banged on about for 40 years without even a sketch of a plan of how to carry it. Meaning that our job now is to try and make the best of their bad-job, item one on that to-do list should be to get rid of them.