The Relegation Thread

[Overchuffed]

I've done a PL predictor and put some conservative results in it for us. Its never been tighter and will no doubt go to the wire for a lot of teams:

I have us bottom with two games to go:
Wolves 35
Everton 34
Leeds 33
Palace 33
Southampton 33
Bournemouth 33
Forest 33
WHU 32

beating Leeds then leaves it looking like this with one game to go:
Everton 37
WHU 35
Wolves 35
Forest 34
Leeds 33
Palace 33
Southampton 33
Bournemouth 33

Final table:
Everton 40
Leeds 36
Palace 36
Southampton 36
WHU 35
Wolves 35
Forest 34
Bournemouth 33

I have us staying up on Goal Difference.

[Colours never run]

[PK]

All this talk of a low points tally needed to stay up but back in 2011 it was very similar at this stage of the season with just 6 pts separating 11th to 20th.

2010/11
11 Everton 27 -1 33
12 Aston Villa 28 -12 33
13 Fulham 28 0 32
14 Blackburn 28 -11 32
15 Blackpool 28 -13 32
16 Birmingham 26 -10 30
17 West Brom 28 -17 29
18 Wolves 28 -15 28
19 West Ham 28 -16 28
20 Wigan 28 -22 27

This is the final table from that season, we tailed off gaining only 5pts from the last 10. Birmingham & Blackpool both went down on 39 pts.

11 West Brom 38 -15 47
12 Newcastle 38 -1 46
13 Stoke 38 -2 46
14 Bolton 38 -4 46
15 Blackburn 38 -13 43
16 Wigan 38 -21 42
17 Wolves 38 -20 40
18 Birmingham 38 -21 39
19 Blackpool 38 -23 39
20 West Ham 38 -27 33

Goes to show how suddenly it can all change. Let's hope we pick up more points from our run in this year

[Lovejoy]

I agree I don’t think it’ll be a low total this year. I think 37 would probably be enough. I think to absolutely make sure of it ourselves we’re looking at 5 wins.

[I am Legend]

Could go bottom on Sunday. Also, we can still mathematically finish 3rd as well.

Lets win 12 in a row

[MB]

Also, we can still mathematically finish 3rd as well.

No mate we can't...

[prophet:marginal]

Everton’s survival in doubt if relegated from the Premier League

Might be a touch sensationalist, but £305M lost in 3 years is not the way to run a successful laundromat!

[simon hammer]

No mate we can't...

We can get to 60 points if we win every game from now until the end of the season. 60 points today would have us in 3rd, 1 point behind Man Citeh.

To actually finish third though...highly unlikely. To actually get 60 points is also highly unlikely.

Nice to dream though...imagine finishing the League season on a 12 game winning streak...marvellous!

[Crouchend_Hammer]

We coukd only come 3rd if we win all our games and every other fixture is canceled with each team receiving no points

[MB]

We can get to 60 points if we win every game from now until the end of the season. 60 points today would have us in 3rd, 1 point behind Man Citeh.

To actually finish third though...highly unlikely. To actually get 60 points is also highly unlikely.

Nice to dream though...imagine finishing the League season on a 12 game winning streak...marvellous!

Other teams earn points as well, especially as they play each other in some of those games…

[simon hammer]

Other teams earn points as well, especially as they play each other in some of those games…

Which is why I said 60 points "today". I think that's what I Am Legend was on about.

As I said...finishing third is highly unlikely.

[steveyrockstar]

Which is why I said 60 points "today". I think that's what I Am Legend was on about.

As I said...finishing third is highly unlikely.

If you worked it out, I'm sure it'd be mathematically impossible as it overlooks the fact that all the other clubs will be playing a load of games too, so they'll all have to pick up points no matter what.

Kinda a futile discussion anyway 'cos we're never winning our next 12 games.

[bonzosbeard]

Kinda a futile discussion anyway 'cos we're never winning our next 12 games.

We would love to revisit this if that happened.

[simon hammer]

If you worked it out, I'm sure it'd be mathematically impossible as it overlooks the fact that all the other clubs will be playing a load of games too, so they'll all have to pick up points no matter what.

Kinda a futile discussion anyway 'cos we're never winning our next 12 games.

Spot on.

Like I said...it's nice to dream though!

And game one starts tomorrow (although knowing our luck, we'll lose it)

[simon hammer]

We coukd only come 3rd if we win all our games and every other fixture is canceled with each team receiving no points

Sounds like the perfect plan to me!

[MB]

Which is why I said 60 points "today". I think that's what I Am Legend was on about.

As I said...finishing third is highly unlikely.

Which as per with Mr Foot only makes about 50% sense

[Doc H Ball]

Strange old game.

Two of the bottom three are seventh and eighth favourites for the drop at 4/1, with just 8 games left in Leicester’s case.

I dunno how the bookies calculate these things, but by my eyes any one of 8 are evens.

HTF are we 8th still? Getting exciting

[WestHamLyallStyle]

Strange old game.

Two of the bottom three are seventh and eighth favourites for the drop at 4/1, with just 8 games left in Leicester’s case.

I dunno how the bookies calculate these things, but by my eyes any one of 8 are evens.

HTF are we 8th still? Getting exciting

Moreover, some bookies have Southampton at 1/4. Who does their run-in of games include ? Bayern Munich, Real Madrid and AC Milan ?

I know they've got Man. City next week.

[hammerman11]

so tomorrow is their must win game !

[Doc H Ball]

Nice to see Chelsea join the scrap.

They’ll soon be back to 12,000 crowds.

‘Just like the old days - there’s nobody here.’